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U.S. and International

Data commentaries

  • May 14, 2008 - U.S. Consumer Price Index (text) (pdf)
  • May 13, 2008 - U.S. Retail Sales (text) (pdf)
  • May 5, 2008 - U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (text) (pdf)
  • May 2, 2008 - U.S. Employment (text) (pdf)
  • May 1, 2008 - U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index (text) (pdf)
  • May 1, 2008 - U.S. Personal Income and Spending (text) (pdf)
  • April 30, 2008 - U.S. FOMC Decision (text) (pdf)
  • April 30, 2008 - U.S. Real GDP (text) (pdf)
  • April 10, 2008 - BOE/ECB Interest Rate Decision (text) (pdf)

Special Reports

  • April 25, 2008 - Is the Credit Crunch Pushing the U.S. Federal Reserve to its Limit? (text) (pdf)
  • April 11, 2008 - Musings on the U.S. Recession (text) (pdf)
  • March 17, 2008 - US: Fed Flailings Reveal Further Need For Cuts (pdf)
  • March 5, 2008 - U.S. Homeowners Not Getting Much of a Break on Mortgage Rates (text) (pdf)
  • February 21, 2008 - What’s Going On With U.S. Inflation? (text) (pdf)
  • February 5, 2008 - Economic Stimulus and the U.S. Outlook (text) (pdf)
  • January 24, 2008 - Global Economic Decoupling: Is The Cookie Jar Still Out Of Reach? (text) (pdf)
  • January 17, 2008 - The Five Finger Guide: Economic Data that Provide a Heads-up to a U.S. Recession (text) (pdf)

  • December 12, 2007 - U.S. Consumer Outlook for the Holidays and 2008 (text) (pdf)
  • November 29, 2007 - American Exports: The Quiet Revolution (text) (pdf)
  • November 27, 2007 - Weaker U.S. Economic Outlook To Prompt Fed Cuts (text) (pdf)
  • November 22, 2007 - Canada and the U.S.: The Odd Decouple (text) (pdf)
  • November 6, 2007 - Oh CDOs, CDOs, Wherefore Art Thou CDOs? (text) (pdf)
  • September 6, 2007 - The Illusion of Withering Wages (text) (pdf)
  • August 20, 2007 - The Grey Anatomy of the Current Credit Crunch (text) (pdf)
  • July 27, 2007 - Inflation Targeting By The Fed: Will It Ever Happen, And Would It Matter? (text) (pdf)
  • July 19, 2007 - Chinese Economy: The Song Remains the Same (text) (pdf)
  • April 30, 2007 - A Primer on the U.S. Sub-prime Market (text) (pdf)
  • April 19, 2007 - Slowing The Chinese Juggernaut (text) (pdf)
  • February 28, 2007 - Taking Stock in China – The Day After (text) (pdf)
  • February 15, 2007 - Japanese GDP Flies, Making a Rate Hike Next Week More Likely (text) (pdf)
  • January 23, 2007 - Resilient U.S. Consumers to Keep Fed on Hold Through 2007 (text) (pdf)

  • November 17, 2006 - Fed Conundrum with Elevated Inflation to Persist (text) (pdf)
  • November 14, 2006 - A Primer on Potential Output (text) (pdf)
  • November 10, 2006 - Economic Impact of U.S. Elections on Canada (text) (pdf)
  • November 8, 2006 - Tarnishing the Image of the Emerging Market Gilded Age (text) (pdf)
  • October 27, 2006 - In The Shadow of the U.S. Slowdown: Local Context Key to Global Growth (text) (pdf)
  • October 2, 2006 - The Decline and Fall of the U.S. Housing Market: Will the Broader Economy Follow? (text) (pdf)
  • August 8, 2006 - The Economic Cost of Aids: A Clear Case for Action (text) (pdf) (Press Release) (French Press Release)
  • August 1, 2006 - Da Vinci’s Other Code: Increased Global Financial Volatility to Come (text) (pdf)
  • July 25, 2006 - Comparison of Monetary Policy in Canada and the United States: Weaker Fed Transparency the Biggest Difference (text) (pdf)
  • May 18, 2006 - The U.S. Current Account Deficit: Nothing To Fear But Fear Itself (Executive Summary) (Full Report)
  • May 11, 2006 - She’s Come Undone: U.S. Housing Market Slowdown is Underway (text) (pdf)
  • April 3, 2006 - Will U.S. Treasuries Pay a Price for Record Foreign Indebtedness? (text) (pdf)
  • January 24, 2006 - Inventories Will Shape the Next U.S. Business Cycle (text) (pdf)

  • August 18, 2005 - U.S. Expansion on ‘Borrowed’ Time (text) (pdf) (press release)
  • July 22, 2005 - China Revalues the Renminbi (text) (pdf)
  • July 15, 2005- U.S. Equities Remain a Long-Term Favourite (text) (pdf)
  • June 28, 2005 - Last Hurrah for U.S. Economy in 2005, Mid-Cycle Slowdown on Tap for 2006 (text) (pdf)
  • May 2, 2005 - Is U.S. CPI Under-estimating Inflation? (text) (pdf)
  • April 18, 2005 - Pressure on China Could Delay Appreciation of Chinese Currency (text) (pdf)
  • March 2, 2005 - Higher Loonie Fails to Drive Shoppers South (text) (pdf)
  • February 9, 2005 - Threats to Global Financial Stability (text) (pdf)

  • September 13, 2004 - U.S. Housing Market: Time to Pay the Piper (text) (pdf)
  • May 25, 2004 - Has the Fed Left Rates Too Low for Too Long? (text) (pdf)
  • May 20, 2004 - China: Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain (text) (pdf)






Current Publications
Daily Indicators*
Weekly Bottom Line*
Weekly Commodity Price Report*
Quarterly Commodity Price Report*
Global Markets*
Federal & Provincial Budgets
Quarterly Economic Forecast*
Provincial Forecast Update*
Industrial Outlook*


Special Reports
Canadian Job Market to be More Sedate in 2008*
Ontario Poised to Collect Equalization in 2010-11*
Is the Credit Crunch Pushing the U.S. Federal Reserve to its Limit?*
Crude Oil Price Relief Is Coming, But Not Until Later This Year*
Musings on the U.S. Recession*
Canada’s Red Hot Real Estate Markets To Cool*
Loosening the Tax Noose on Business Investment – Making Progress*
US: Fed Flailings Reveal Further Need For Cuts*
Canada: BoC Response to U.S. Turmoil*
Time to Re-think Financial Assistance for Post-secondary Education*
What’s Behind the Canadian Manufacturing Sector Recession?*
U.S. Homeowners Not Getting Much of a Break on Mortgage Rates*
What’s Going On With U.S. Inflation?*
Ontario and Quebec’s Manufacturing Woes*
Automakers Brace for a Difficult Year*