TD Economics

TD Economics

Analysis of economic performance and the implications for investors

The analysis covers the globe, with emphasis on Canada, the United States, Europe and Asia

Latest Releases

(en français) indicates content is available on our French website

May 27, 2016

The Weekly Bottom Line (pdf) 
U.S. Real GDP (Q1 2016) (pdf) 
Buyer Gridlock in the Toronto and Vancouver Housing Markets (pdf)

May 26, 2016

Canada: CFIB Small Business Barometer (pdf) 
Canadian Corporate Profits (pdf) 
U.S. Dollars & Sense (pdf)  
Canadian Dollars & Sense (pdf)  

May 25, 2016

Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement (pdf) 

May 20, 2016

U.S. State Employment Monitor (pdf) 
U.S. Existing Home Sales (pdf) 
Canadian Retail Sales (pdf) 
Canadian Consumer Price Index (pdf) 

May 18, 2016

U.S. FOMC Meeting Minutes (pdf) 
Commodity Price Report (pdf) 

May 17, 2016

Canadian Manufacturing Sales (pdf) 
U.S. Housing Starts and Permits (pdf) 
U.S. Consumer Price Index (pdf) 

May 16, 2016

Canadian Existing Home Sales(pdf) 

May 13, 2016

U.S. Retail Sales (pdf) 

May 12, 2016

Fort McMurray: Bracing for Economic Impact (webcast) 
Canadian Auto Sales To Remain Lofty, Production Outlook Uncertain (pdf) (en français)

May 10, 2016

U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (pdf) 
Canadian Capital Repair and Expenditures Survey for 2016 (pdf) 
U.S. Inflation Has Turned The Corner (pdf)

May 9, 2016

Canadian Housing Starts (pdf) 

May 6, 2016

U.S. Employment (pdf) 
Canadian Employment (pdf) 

May 4, 2016

U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (pdf) 
Negative Interest Rate Swap Spreads - In Search of a Smoking Gun (pdf)
U.S. International Trade (pdf) 
Canadian International Trade (pdf) 

May 3, 2016

U.S. Vehicle Sales (pdf) 

May 2, 2016

U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index (pdf) 

April 28, 2016

Bank of Japan Policy Rate Decision (pdf) 

April 27, 2016

U.S. FOMC Statement (pdf) 
Indefinite Leave or Remain: The UK's Referendum on EU Membership and its Economic Implications (pdf)

April 21, 2016

ECB Monetary Policy Decision (pdf) 
U.S. Auto Sales Easing Up On The Accelerator (pdf) 

April 19, 2016

Prince Edward Island Budget 2016 (pdf) 
Nova Scotia Budget 2016 (pdf) 
Poloz & Wilkins Commons Testimony (pdf) 

April 18, 2016

Patience Required For Higher Prices As Oil Glut Persists (pdf) 

April 15, 2016

Newfoundland & Labrador Budget 2016 (pdf) 
Chinese GDP (Q1 2016) (pdf) 

April 14, 2016

Alberta Budget 2016 (pdf) 

April 13, 2016

Advanced Economies More Exposed to Emerging Markets Through Financial Linkages (pdf) 

April 5, 2016

Canadian Provincial Economic Forecast (pdf) (en français)

April 1, 2016

Bank of Canada Business Outlook & Senior Loan Officer Surveys (Q1) (pdf) 

March 28, 2016

U.S. Quarterly State Forecast (pdf) 

March 23, 2016

Long-term Economic Forecast (pdf)
Quarterly Economic Forecast (pdf) (press release) (en français)

March 22, 2016

Canadian Federal Budget 2016 (pdf) 
High-Flying Dollar Takes Some Shine Off New York Tourism (pdf) 

March 17, 2016

Quebec Budget 2016 (pdf)  (en français)

March 11, 2016

Canadian Provincial Job Market: Trends Anticipated to Shift with the Start of 2016 (pdf) 
A Tale of Two Central Banks: The Fed Tightens as the ECB Eases Further (pdf) 
Canadian National Balance Sheet Accounts, Q4-2015 (pdf) 

March 4, 2016

Philanthropy in Canada: What Drives Canadians to Give? (webcast) 
Canadian Labour Productivity & Costs (pdf) 

March 2, 2016

Stepping on the Gas While Downshifting: China's Commodity Demand Set to Rise (pdf) 

March 1, 2016

Persistent Federal Deficits On The Horizon (pdf) 

February 25, 2016

2016 Ontario Budget (pdf) 
Not Just a Warm Fuzzy Feeling: What Drives Canadians to Give? (pdf) 

February 24, 2016

Speech by Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri (pdf) 

February 17, 2016

Push Me Pull Me: The Outlook for Canadian Manufacturing (pdf) 

February 16, 2016

U.S. Housing & Renovation Outlook: Building Momentum (pdf) 

February 11, 2016

Canadian Regional Housing Outlook: The Booming, The Struggling, and The Stable (pdf) 

February 10, 2016

Fed Chair Janet Yellen's Semiannual Monetary Policy Report & Testimony to Congress (pdf) 

February 9, 2016

The Federal Reserve's Conundrum: Part II (pdf) 

February 8, 2016

Canada-U.S. Cross-Border Spending: A Reversal of Fortunes (pdf) 

January 14, 2016

U.S. Economy Ended 2015 On a Weak Note, But Fundamentals Still Strong (pdf) 

January 8, 2016

Six Employment Facts From A Not So Great Year (pdf) 

January 7, 2016

Don't Let Zero Get In the Way of the Lower Bound (pdf) 

January 5, 2016

Canadian Long-Term Financial Asset Returns: An Economic Perspective (pdf) 
U.S. Long-Term Financial Asset Returns: An Economic Perspective (pdf) 

Special Reports

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