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National Economy

Data commentaries

  • May 15, 2008 - Canadian Manufacturing Shipments (text) (pdf)
  • May 9, 2008 - Canadian International Trade (text) (pdf)
  • May 9, 2008 - Canadian Employment (text) (pdf)
  • May 8, 2008 - Canadian Housing Starts (text) (pdf)
  • April 30, 2008 - Canadian Real GDP (text) (pdf)
  • April 24, 2008 - Bank of Canada's Semi-Annual MPR (text) (pdf)
  • April 23, 2008 - Canadian Retail Sales (text) (pdf)
  • April 22, 2008 - Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision (text) (pdf)
  • April 17, 2008 - Canadian Consumer Price Index (text) (pdf)

Regular Publications

Special Reports

  • April 29, 2008 - Canadian Job Market to be More Sedate in 2008 (text) (pdf)
  • April 10, 2008 - Canada’s Red Hot Real Estate Markets To Cool (text) (pdf)
  • March 18, 2008 - TD Alternate Inflation Monitor (Monitor) (Primer)
  • March 17, 2008 - Canada: BoC Response to U.S. Turmoil (pdf)
  • March 11, 2008 - Time to Re-think Financial Assistance for Post-secondary Education (text) (pdf)
  • March 5, 2008 - What’s Behind the Canadian Manufacturing Sector Recession? (text) (pdf)
  • February 13, 2008 - Ontario and Quebec’s Manufacturing Woes (text) (pdf) (French pdf)
  • January 30, 2008 - Has The Canadian Dollar Gone Too Far, Too Fast? (pdf)
  • January 11, 2008 - Canadian Long-term Real Interest Rates (Executive Summary) (Report)

  • December 4, 2007 - Housing Market Commentary (text) (pdf)
  • November 22, 2007 - Canada and the U.S.: The Odd Decouple (text) (pdf)
  • October 11, 2007 - Small Businesses To Benefit From Solid Domestic Demand, But Challenges Call For Innovative Thinking (text) (pdf) (Press Release)
  • September 25, 2007 - Markets are a Woman’s Best Friend (text) (pdf) (Press Release) (French Press Release)
  • September 24, 2007 - Comparing Parity - 1976 vs 2007 (text) (pdf)
  • September 21, 2007 - Housing Monitor (text) (pdf)
  • September 19, 2007 - The Strong Canadian Dollar is No Longer an Ally in the Fight Against Inflation (text) (pdf)
  • August 14, 2007 - Canadian Companies Not Taking Advantage Of Investment Opportunities (text) (pdf)
  • August 1, 2007 - Does Canada Have An Inflation Problem? (text) (pdf)
  • August 1, 2007 - Does Canada Have An Inflation Problem? (text) (pdf)
  • July 27, 2007 - Inflation Targeting By The Fed: Will It Ever Happen, And Would It Matter? (text) (pdf)
  • May 17, 2007 - Condos to Remain an Attractive Option for Many Home Buyers (text) (pdf) (Press Release) (French press release)
  • May 1, 2007 - Donating Securities Makes Good Financial Sense (text) (pdf)
  • April 4, 2007 - Economic Outlook Remains Supportive to Small Business in Canada (text) (pdf) (Press Release)
  • March 13, 2007 - Mis-measurement of Hours Worked Leads to a Surprise Increase in Labour Productivity (text) (pdf)
  • March 7, 2007 - Market-based Solutions to Protect the Environment (Full Report) (Executive Summary) (Press Release) (French Executive Summary) (French press release)
  • February 12, 2007 - Labour Productivity Tumbles into the Chasm Between Canadian Employment and GDP Growth (text) (pdf)
  • January 25, 2007 - Prospects for Canada’s Auto and Parts Sector (text) (pdf)
  • January 8, 2007 - TD Consumer Pulse (text) (pdf)
  • January 5, 2007 - Provincial Job Market Outlook (text) (pdf)

  • December 21, 2006 - The 2006 Forecast Track Record (text) (pdf)
  • December 21, 2006 - Pressure Makes Diamonds: A Road Map for Canadian Manufacturing (pdf)
  • December 13, 2006 - Lifestyles of the Rich and Unequal: An Investigation Into Wealth Inequality in Canada (text) (pdf)
  • December 1, 2006 - A Mea Culpa and Outlook for Inventory Investment in Canada (text) (pdf)
  • November 22, 2006 - Greying of Canada’s Population Has Far Reaching Implications for Charities (text) (pdf) (Press Release)
  • November 14, 2006 - A Primer on Potential Output (text) (pdf)
  • November 10, 2006 - Economic Impact of U.S. Elections on Canada (text) (pdf)
  • November 7, 2006 - T’is The Season To Go Shopping: Solid Prospects For Holiday Retail Sales (text) (pdf)
  • October 25, 2006 - Canada’s Image As A Global Resource Giant (text) (pdf) (Press Release)
  • October 11, 2006 - Small Business Prospects Remain Positive (pdf) (French pdf) (Press Release) (French Press Release)
  • October 3, 2006 - Alberta’s Rising Wages: A Tide That Lifts All Boats (text) (pdf)
  • September 18, 2006 - The Economists’ Manifesto For Curing Ailing Canadian Productivity (pdf) (French pdf)
  • September 14, 2006 - Long-term Outlook for Canadian Home Prices (text) (pdf)
  • September 5, 2006 - 10 Reasons Canadians Should Invest Abroad (text) (pdf) (Press Release)
  • September 1, 2006 - What to Expect in Canada’s Labour Market as the Economy Slows (text) (pdf)
  • August 31, 2006 - Housing Bubble Watch (text) (pdf) (Press Release)
  • August 8, 2006 - The Economic Cost of Aids: A Clear Case for Action (text) (pdf) (Press Release) (French Press Release)
  • August 1, 2006 - Economic and Financial Update (text) (pdf)
  • July 25, 2006 - Comparison of Monetary Policy in Canada and the United States: Weaker Fed Transparency the Biggest Difference (text) (pdf)
  • July 21, 2006 - Getting the Goods on the Risk to the Bank of Canada’s Inflation Outlook (text) (pdf)
  • July 12, 2006 - Say It Ain’t So: Canadians Don’t Believe Inflation Numbers (text) (pdf)
  • June 22, 2006 - Creating the Winning Conditions for Public-Private Partnerships (P3s) in Canada (text) (pdf) (Press Release)
  • June 15, 2006 - Domestic Resilience Trumps Manufacturing Woes in Canada’s Labour Market (text) (pdf)
  • June 13, 2006 - Whither the Ontario Economy? (text) (pdf)
  • May 29, 2006 - Why The Latest Bank Of Canada Rate Increase Is Small Potatoes (text) (pdf)
  • May 24, 2006 - Good News for Donors to Charities (text) (pdf)
  • May 15, 2006 - Managing Debt As Important As Managing Assets (text) (pdf) (Press Release)
  • April 27, 2006 - Living Standards Grow Faster in the West in 2005 (text) (pdf)
  • March 29, 2006 - British Columbia’s Golden Decade (Executive Summary) (Report) (Press Release)
  • March 24, 2006 - A Lower Inflation Target? Don’t Bet On It Now (text) (pdf)
  • January 24, 2006 - What to Expect from a Soft Landing in Canada’s Housing Market (text) (pdf)

  • November 24, 2005 - Offshore Outsourcing of Services - Not Just a Passing Fad (text) (pdf)
  • November 14, 2005 - The 2005 Federal Fiscal Update (text) (pdf)
  • October 28, 2005 - Key Issues Arising from the Bank of Canada’s October Monetary Policy Report (text) (pdf)
  • October 18, 2005 - An Investor Approach to Charitable Giving (text) (pdf)
  • October 5, 2005 - Canada's Productivity Challenge (text) (pdf) (press release)
  • October 3, 2005 - An Update on the Economy of the Calgary-Edmonton Corridor (text) (pdf)
  • September 22, 2005 - Pressure Increases on Finance Minister Goodale to Act on Income Trusts (text) (pdf)
  • September 8, 2005 - Federal Finance Department Releases Long-awaited Consultation Paper on Income Trusts (text) (pdf)
  • September 22, 2005 - Crude Oil Squeeze to Ease Next Year (text) (pdf) (press release)
  • September 8, 2005 - From Welfare to Work in Ontario: Still the Road Less Travelled (text) (pdf) (press release)
  • August 25, 2005 - Canadian Economic and Small Business Outlook (text) (pdf)
  • August 17, 2005 - Canada’s Oil Sands – A World-Class Resource (text) (pdf)
  • June 16, 2005 - Lower Churchill River Hydroelectricity Development: The Project’s Day in the Sun May Have Finally Arrived (text) (pdf) (press release)
  • June 15, 2005- Who’s to Blame for Canada’s Productivity Woes? (text) (pdf)

    2005 Special Reports continued
    2004 Special Reports
    2003 Special Reports

Current Publications
Daily Indicators*
Weekly Bottom Line*
Weekly Commodity Price Report*
Quarterly Commodity Price Report*
Global Markets*
Federal & Provincial Budgets
Quarterly Economic Forecast*
Provincial Forecast Update*
Industrial Outlook*


Special Reports
Canadian Job Market to be More Sedate in 2008*
Ontario Poised to Collect Equalization in 2010-11*
Is the Credit Crunch Pushing the U.S. Federal Reserve to its Limit?*
Crude Oil Price Relief Is Coming, But Not Until Later This Year*
Musings on the U.S. Recession*
Canada’s Red Hot Real Estate Markets To Cool*
Loosening the Tax Noose on Business Investment – Making Progress*
US: Fed Flailings Reveal Further Need For Cuts*
Canada: BoC Response to U.S. Turmoil*
Time to Re-think Financial Assistance for Post-secondary Education*
What’s Behind the Canadian Manufacturing Sector Recession?*
U.S. Homeowners Not Getting Much of a Break on Mortgage Rates*
What’s Going On With U.S. Inflation?*
Ontario and Quebec’s Manufacturing Woes*
Automakers Brace for a Difficult Year*