You are now leaving our website and entering a third-party website over which we have no control.
TD Wealth Market Insights: March 2025 Snapshot
Source: Morningstar, TD Wealth Chief Investment Office. Indices used include the Bloomberg US Treasury TR Index, Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond TR Index, Bloomberg US Corp Bond TR Index, Bloomberg US Treasury US TIPS TR Index, Bloomberg Municipal TR Index, Bloomberg US MBS Float Adjusted TR, S&P 500 TR Index, Russell 1000 Growth TR Index, Russell 1000 Value TR Index, Russell 2000 TR Index, MSCI EAFE NR Index, and the MSCI EM NR Index. All performance is in U.S. dollars. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The indices are a tool to compare the performance of one or more indices. The volatility and performance of the indices may be greater than or less than the volatility and performance of actual investments. Indices reflect the reinvestment of dividends and income. Indices do not have fees, expenses or taxes, which would lower performance. Indices are unmanaged and not available for direct investment.
Market Commentary
-
1
March Month in Review: Heightened macro and political uncertainty weighed on the performance of financial markets in March. Weeks after achieving a new all-time high in February, the S&P 500 Index briefly experienced its first 10% correction in two years as trade tensions curbed investor's outlook on valuations and growth. While technology-focused companies led domestic equities lower, international markets continued to benefit from a broader set of exposures and relatively modest valuation levels. Investor caution extended to major fixed income indices with Treasury yields also buffeted by macro headlines over the period. Although market pullbacks can be tough for investors, we believe they should also be viewed as an opportunity to assess long-term goals and the plan in place to achieve those goals.
-
2
Tariff Talk Shakes Markets: Speculation on the impact of tariffs and trade wars remained center stage in March as policy updates came fast and furious. The rollout of an ambitious trade agenda from the Trump administration quickly swayed financial markets, alarming trading partners and prompting threats of escalation. Uncertainty ahead of the looming reciprocal tariff and policy announcements expected for April 2nd also sparked renewed volatility as investors braced for the unknown and expressed a more cautious outlook.
-
3
Consumer Confidence in Focus: The macro backdrop offered little reprieve from market uncertainty as a shift in consumer sentiment and heightened inflation expectations came into focus. While a healthy job market has helped to support the pace of consumer spending so far, shifts in policy could add to still elevated price pressures, creating a headwind to confidence and growth prospects. The Federal Reserve met in March and left rates unchanged while lowering its outlook for economic growth and raising its view of inflation for the months ahead.
TD Wealth Asset Collection Views
INVESTMENTS, SECURITIES AND ANNUITIES |
||||
NOT A DEPOSIT |
NOT FDIC-INSURED |
NOT INSURED BY ANY FEDERAL GOVERNMENT AGENCY |
NOT GUARANTEED BY THE BANK |
MAY GO DOWN IN VALUE |
TD Economics Key Financial Forecasts
Forecast by TD Economics as of March2025; all forecasts are end-of-period. Source: FactSet, Federal Reserve Board, TD Economics.